Wildfires may occur more frequently in northern Minnesota during the 21st century.

Fire Dependent Forests may be exposed to larger and more frequent wildfires under climate change. Drought conditions may raise the risk of wildfires. Blowdowns and pest outbreaks could provide more fuel buildup, along with mortality from drought or other stressors. Greater wildfire activity could benefit these forest types, but it is possible that too much change to the fire regime would hamper regeneration. Excessive fire could result in a transition to grassland or barrens.