Red pine is expected to remain steady or decrease slightly across northern Wisconsin and western Upper Michigan by the end of the century under a range of future scenarios.

This species is already near its southern range limits in Wisconsin. Red pine may be limited by warm temperatures, so projected warming may exceed the physiological limits of this species. Management has maintained red pine across much of the assessment area, and regeneration of this species usually relies on planted seedlings. Seasonal shifts in precipitation patterns, particularly the trend toward wetter springs and drier summers, may impair the survival of planted seedlings. Mature red pine trees are generally drought tolerant.